USMNT Player Coefficient
It's HERE!!!!! Its time to get hyped for 2022 Sportswashing Global Event! But, let's check in on how the entire pool is playing for one last time in this cycle. This will also be the final time many older players make an appearance in this series as I will cycle out some that are going to be too old for the 2026 World Cup (primarily because there are too many players in particular too many younger upcoming players to keep track of, its a lot of work)!
For those new to this series I decided to develop this because there are always a significant amount of blog posts/conversations focusing on the debate about who should be called in. So why not find a new way to bring about the conversation of who the top 26 players are in a win-now situation using a little math.
As always, this is just a jumping off point in the conversation, not an endorsement saying this is exactly who should be called up.
Reasoning
With players spread across the world, in many different quality of leagues, choosing which players are the best becomes a very difficult proposition. How do you rate a sure-fire starter in the MLS vs. a squad player the in the Bundesliga? Because of this I devised a coefficient that combines multiple statistical resources and rankings to create a mathematical rating of all eligible and under consideration USMNT players.
What is Considered (Methodology)
To create the coefficient I assigned point values of various weights and tiers based upon the following criteria:
- League Ranking (Max 10 Points) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Club Ranking SPI (Max 10 Points) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Percentage of League Minutes Played (Max 10 Points)
- Individual Player Ratings in League Games (Max 50 Points) (whoscored.com, fotmob.com)
- Percentage of USMNT Call-ups in past year of Rosters (Current Max of 1.75 Points)
- Continental Competition Appearances (Current Max of 3)
- Recent Minutes Bonus (Max 2 Points)
- Form Bonus (Max 1 Point)
These items were chosen based upon philosophy that experience on the highest levels show a better player then one at lower levels, but very little minutes or poor play at a top squad may not show the most in form player than one playing at a high level, but at a lower club. Players receive a bonus if their recent minutes/ratings have seen an uptick in form. Those bonuses equate to raising a player up a tier. In addition, a small weight was given on familiarity with recent call-ups as a factor.
What Isn't Measured
What has to be remembered is the point of this exercise is to identify the best 23 players currently. Things that cannot be measured are club situations, Cap-ties, current injuries, player development, formation fits, poor National Team appearances, etc.
Who Is Considered
I automatically included every player that received a call-up from the past year of rosters (currently December 2021-November 2022). Additionally I tried to include all players that are under consideration for a call-up or that consensus says should be considered for a call-up (players that play in leagues that do not have advanced stats are not included). Players are then sorted into generalized positions (based upon appearances at club level according to WhoScored positional data). There is always some movement of the top 26 based upon formation considerations in how many per position are called. Players not currently eligible for USMNT call-up are not listed. Any suggestions to players to add or remove from the pool are highly recommended.
Goalkeepers
Rank | Change | Player | Age | Club | Score |
1 | ↑3 | Zack Steffen | 27 | Middlesbrough | 61.900 |
2 | ↓1 | Sean Johnson | 33 | New York City FC | 59.700 |
3 | ↓1 | Ethan Horvath | 27 | Luton Town | 59.050 |
4 | ↓1 | Stefan Frei | 36 | Seattle Sounders FC | 54.325 |
5 | Gabriel Slonina | 18 | Chicago Fire | 54.175 | |
6 | JT Marcinkowski | 25 | San Jose Earthquakes | 51.800 | |
7 | John Pulskamp | 21 | Sporting Kansas City | 51.500 | |
8 | Brad Guzan | 38 | Atlanta United FC | 47.075 | |
9 | Bill Hamid | 31 | DC United | 45.425 | |
10 | Matt Turner | 28 | Arsenal | 22.500 |
Centerbacks
Rank | Change | Player | Age | Club | Score |
1 | ↑1 | Cameron Carter-Vickers | 24 | Celtic | 63.750 |
2 | ↓1 | Tim Ream | 35 | Fulham | 62.950 |
3 | Mark McKenzie | 23 | Genk | 62.675 | |
4 | ↑2 | Auston Trusty | 24 | Birmingham | 60.225 |
5 | ↓1 | Erik Palmer-Brown | 25 | Troyes | 60.175 |
6 | ↓1 | Walker Zimmerman | 29 | Nashville SC | 59.850 |
7 | Matt Miazga | 27 | FC Cincinnati | 58.825 | |
8 | ↑1 | James Sands | 22 | Rangers | 58.325 |
9 | ↓1 | Sean Nealis | 25 | New York Red Bulls | 57.425 |
10 | Aaron Long | 30 | New York Red Bulls | 56.925 | |
11 | ↑1 | Justen Glad | 25 | Real Salt Lake | 55.650 |
12 | ↓1 | Mauricio Pineda | 25 | Chicago Fire | 54.150 |
13 | Chris Richards | 22 | Crystal Palace | 53.900 | |
14 | Henry Kessler | 24 | NE Revolution | 53.225 | |
15 | ↑3 | Tim Parker | 29 | Houston Dynamo | 52.475 |
16 | ↑1 | John Brooks | 29 | Benfica | 50.300 |
17 | ↓1 | Donovan Pines | 24 | DC United | 49.950 |
18 | NR | Jonathan Tomkinson | 20 | Norwich City | 49.700 |
19 | Miles Robinson | 25 | Atlanta United FC | 49.550 | |
20 | Brendan Hines-Ike | 27 | DC United | 47.325 | |
21 | Justin Che | 19 | TSG Hoffenheim | 20.250 | |
22 | Kobi Henry | 18 | Reims | 18.250 |
*Jonathan Tomkinson added, Owen Otasowie removed
Left Backs
Rank | Change | Player | Age | Club | Score |
1 | Antonee Robinson | 25 | Fulham | 63.650 | |
2 | ↑1 | John Tolkin | 20 | New York Red Bulls | 59.175 |
3 | ↓1 | Sam Vines | 23 | Antwerp | 58.900 |
4 | Andrew Gutman | 26 | Atlanta United FC | 58.600 | |
5 | ↑2 | Ryan Hollingshead | 31 | Los Angeles FC | 57.975 |
6 | ↓1 | Daniel Lovitz | 31 | Nashville SC | 57.850 |
7 | ↓1 | DeJuan Jones | 25 | NE Revolution | 56.550 |
8 | Marco Farfan | 24 | FC Dallas | 56.225 | |
9 | Kevin Paredes | 19 | VfL Wolfsburg | 53.700 | |
10 | Jaylin Lindsey | 22 | Charlotte FC | 50.975 | |
11 | George Bello | 20 | Arminia Bielefeld | 43.225 | |
12 | Jonathan Gomez | 19 | Real Sociedad | 20.250 |
Right Backs
Rank | Change | Player | Age | Club | Score |
1 | Joe Scally | 19 | Monchengladbach | 63.725 | |
2 | ↑1 | Shaq Moore | 26 | Nashville SC | 59.600 |
3 | ↑10 | Bryan Reynolds | 21 | KVC Westerlo | 58.525 |
4 | Brandon Bye | 27 | NE Revolution | 57.475 | |
5 | ↓3 | Reggie Cannon | 24 | Boavista | 56.950 |
6 | ↓1 | Nathan Harriel | 21 | Philadelphia Union | 56.450 |
7 | ↑5 | Sergino Dest | 22 | AC Milan | 55.875 |
8 | ↓2 | DeAndre Yedlin | 29 | Inter Miami CF | 55.825 |
9 | Nick Lima | 28 | Austin FC | 55.275 | |
10 | ↓2 | Keegan Rosenberry | 28 | Colorado Rapids | 55.250 |
11 | Tmothy Chandler | 32 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 53.525 | |
12 | ↓2 | Kyle Duncan | 25 | New York Red Bulls | 53.450 |
13 | ↓6 | Aaron Herrera | 25 | Real Salt Lake | 53.175 |
14 | NR | Marlon Fossey | 24 | Standard Liege | 49.650 |
*Marlon Fossey added
Defensive Midfielders
Rank | Change | Player | Age | Club | Score |
1 | Tyler Adams | 23 | Leeds United | 64.275 | |
2 | ↑2 | Johnny Cardoso | 21 | Internacional | 61.525 |
3 | ↓1 | Leon Flach | 21 | Philadelphia Union | 59.600 |
4 | ↑1 | Sean Davis | 29 | Nashville SC | 57.425 |
5 | ↑1 | Michael Bradley | 35 | Toronto FC | 56.075 |
6 | ↑2 | Wil Trapp | 29 | Minnesota United | 54.425 |
7 | ↑2 | Jackson Yueill | 25 | SJ Earthquakes | 54.400 |
8 | ↓5 | Christian Cappis | 23 | Brondby | 53.775 |
9 | ↓2 | Edwin Cerrillo | 22 | FC Dallas | 52.750 |
10 | ↑2 | Brandon Servania | 23 | FC Dallas | 51.100 |
11 | Eryk Williamson | 25 | Portland Timbers | 49.800 | |
12 | ↑1 | Chris Durkin | 22 | DC United | 49.550 |
13 | ↓3 | Hassani Dotson | 25 | Minnesota United | 49.525 |
14 | ↑1 | Ian Harkes | 27 | Dundee United | 46.950 |
15 | ↓1 | Dante Polvara | 22 | Aberdeen | 46.275 |
16 | Tanner Tessmann | 21 | Venezia | 44.225 |
Center Midfielders
Rank | Change | Player | Age | Club | Score |
1 | Yunus Musah | 19 | Valencia | 62.800 | |
2 | ↑2 | Kellyn Acosta | 27 | Los Angeles FC | 62.225 |
3 | ↓1 | Weston McKennie | 24 | Juventus | 61.850 |
4 | ↑1 | Cristian Roldan | 27 | Seattle Sounders | 58.975 |
5 | ↓2 | Alejandro Bedoya | 35 | Philadelphia Union | 58.625 |
6 | ↑2 | Marky Delgado | 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 58.375 |
7 | ↓1 | Sebastian Lletget | 30 | FC Dallas | 57.775 |
8 | ↓1 | Alfredo Morales | 32 | New York City FC | 56.900 |
9 | Keaton Parks | 25 | New York City FC | 53.850 | |
10 | ↑1 | Alan Sonora | 24 | CA Independiente | 53.625 |
11 | ↑2 | Luca de la Torre | 24 | Celta Vigo | 53.225 |
12 | ↓2 | Gianluca Busio | 20 | Venezia | 49.875 |
13 | NR | Jacob Montes | 24 | Botafogo | 49.850 |
14 | ↓2 | Cole Bassett | 21 | Fortuna Sittard | 47.900 |
*Jacob Montes added
Attacking Midfielders
Rank | Change | Player | Age | Club | Score |
1 | Brenden Aaronson | 23 | Leeds United | 63.900 | |
2 | ↑10 | Giovanni Reyna | 20 | Borussia Dortmund | 62.050 |
3 | ↑1 | Malik Tillman | 20 | Rangers | 61.575 |
4 | ↑12 | Taylor Booth | 21 | FC Utrecht | 60.800 |
5 | ↓2 | Djordje Mihailovic | 24 | CF Montreal | 60.175 |
6 | ↓1 | Paul Arriola | 27 | FC Dallas | 59.750 |
7 | ↓5 | Brooks Lennon | 25 | Atlanta United FC | 59.600 |
8 | ↑22 | Tim Weah | 22 | Lille | 59.425 |
9 | ↓2 | Christian Pulisic | 24 | Chelsea | 59.075 |
10 | ↓4 | Jordan Morris | 28 | Seattle Sounders | 57.850 |
11 | ↓2 | Alex Mendez | 22 | Vizela | 57.400 |
12 | ↓1 | Frankie Amaya | 22 | New York Red Bulls | 57.350 |
13 | ↓3 | Chris Mueller | 26 | Chicago Fire | 55.600 |
14 | ↓6 | Lynden Gooch | 26 | Sunderland | 55.350 |
15 | ↓2 | Paxton Pomykal | 22 | FC Dallas | 54.075 |
16 | ↓1 | Jonathan Lewis | 25 | Colorado Rapids | 53.100 |
17 | ↓3 | Richard Ledezma | 22 | PSV | 52.725 |
18 | ↓1 | Duane Holmes | 28 | Huddersfield Town | 51.700 |
19 | ↑3 | Ben Bender | 21 | Charlotte FC | 51.475 |
20 | Khiry Shelton | 29 | Sporting Kansas City | 50.575 | |
21 | ↑14 | Emmanuel Sabbi | 24 | Odense BK | 50.525 |
22 | ↓3 | Benji Michel | 25 | Orlando City SC | 49.600 |
23 | ↓2 | Andres Perea | 22 | Orlando City SC | 48.475 |
24 | ↑2 | Alejandro Alvarado | 19 | Vizela | 47.975 |
25 | ↓1 | Joel Sonora | 26 | Maritimo | 47.425 |
26 | ↓8 | Konrad de la Fuente | 21 | Olympiacos | 47.225 |
27 | Sebastian Saucedo | 25 | Toluca | 47.125 | |
28 | ↑1 | Julian Green | 27 | Greuther Fuerth | 47.025 |
29 | ↓1 | Emerson Hyndman | 26 | Atlanta United FC | 46.825 |
30 | ↓5 | Caden Clark | 19 | New York Red Bulls | 46.625 |
31 | ↓8 | Timothy Tillman | 23 | Greuther Fuerth | 45.850 |
32 | ↓1 | Tyler Boyd | 122 | Besiktas | 44.950 |
33 | ↓3 | Jorge Hernandez | 22 | KV Mechelen | 44.175 |
34 | ↓2 | Vaughn Covil | 19 | Hull City | 43.375 |
35 | ↓2 | Jack De Vries | 20 | Venezia | 40.325 |
Forwards
Rank | Change | Player | Age | Club | Score |
1 | Jordan Pefok | 26 | Union Berlin | 63.550 | |
2 | ↑1 | Jesus Ferreira | 21 | FC Dallas | 60.700 |
3 | ↑2 | Brandon Vazquez | 24 | FC Cincinnati | 60.025 |
4 | ↑2 | Ricardo Pepi | 19 | FC Groningen | 59.500 |
5 | ↓3 | Josh Sargent | 22 | Norwich City | 59.275 |
6 | ↓2 | Haji Wright | 24 | Antalyaspor | 58.825 |
7 | Gyasi Zardes | 31 | Colorado Rapids | 56.125 | |
8 | Jeremy Ebobisse | 25 | SJ Earthquakes | 55.250 | |
9 | Mason Toye | 24 | CF Montreal | 51.500 | |
10 | ↑2 | Jozy Altidore | 33 | Puebla | 49.425 |
11 | ↓1 | Cade Cowell | 19 | SJ Earthquakes | 48.950 |
12 | ↓1 | Bobby Wood | 30 | Real Salt Lake | 48.925 |
13 | ↑1 | Matthew Hoppe | 21 | Middlesbrough | 47.500 |
14 | ↑1 | Robbie Robinson | 24 | Inter Miami CF | 47.350 |
15 | ↑4 | Joseph Efford | 26 | Motherwell | 46.450 |
16 | Daryl Dike | 22 | West Brom | 46.300 | |
17 | ↓4 | Andrija Novakovich | 26 | Venezia | 46.175 |
18 | Miguel Berry | 25 | DC United | 45.600 | |
19 | ↑1 | Nicholas Gioacchini | 22 | Orlando City SC | 44.550 |
20 | ↓3 | Christian Ramirez | 31 | Aberdeen | 44.025 |
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