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USMNT Player Coefficient (2022 World Cup Edition)

USMNT Player Coefficient

It's HERE!!!!! Its time to get hyped for 2022 Sportswashing Global Event! But, let's check in on how the entire pool is playing for one last time in this cycle. This will also be the final time many older players make an appearance in this series as I will cycle out some that are going to be too old for the 2026 World Cup (primarily because there are too many players in particular too many younger upcoming players to keep track of, its a lot of work)!

For those new to this series I decided to develop this because there are always a significant amount of blog posts/conversations focusing on the debate about who should be called in. So why not find a new way to bring about the conversation of who the top 26 players are in a win-now situation using a little math.

As always, this is just a jumping off point in the conversation, not an endorsement saying this is exactly who should be called up.

Reasoning

With players spread across the world, in many different quality of leagues, choosing which players are the best becomes a very difficult proposition. How do you rate a sure-fire starter in the MLS vs. a squad player the in the Bundesliga? Because of this I devised a coefficient that combines multiple statistical resources and rankings to create a mathematical rating of all eligible and under consideration USMNT players.

What is Considered (Methodology)

To create the coefficient I assigned point values of various weights and tiers based upon the following criteria:

  1. League Ranking (Max 10 Points) (fivethirtyeight.com)
  2. Club Ranking SPI (Max 10 Points) (fivethirtyeight.com)
  3. Percentage of League Minutes Played (Max 10 Points)
  4. Individual Player Ratings in League Games (Max 50 Points) (whoscored.com, fotmob.com)
  5. Percentage of USMNT Call-ups in past year of Rosters (Current Max of 1.75 Points)
  6. Continental Competition Appearances (Current Max of 3)
  7. Recent Minutes Bonus (Max 2 Points)
  8. Form Bonus (Max 1 Point)

These items were chosen based upon philosophy that experience on the highest levels show a better player then one at lower levels, but very little minutes or poor play at a top squad may not show the most in form player than one playing at a high level, but at a lower club. Players receive a bonus if their recent minutes/ratings have seen an uptick in form. Those bonuses equate to raising a player up a tier. In addition, a small weight was given on familiarity with recent call-ups as a factor.

What Isn't Measured

What has to be remembered is the point of this exercise is to identify the best 23 players currently. Things that cannot be measured are club situations, Cap-ties, current injuries, player development, formation fits, poor National Team appearances, etc.

Who Is Considered

I automatically included every player that received a call-up from the past year of rosters (currently December 2021-November 2022). Additionally I tried to include all players that are under consideration for a call-up or that consensus says should be considered for a call-up (players that play in leagues that do not have advanced stats are not included). Players are then sorted into generalized positions (based upon appearances at club level according to WhoScored positional data). There is always some movement of the top 26 based upon formation considerations in how many per position are called. Players not currently eligible for USMNT call-up are not listed. Any suggestions to players to add or remove from the pool are highly recommended.

Goalkeepers

Rank Change Player Age Club Score
1 ↑3 Zack Steffen 27 Middlesbrough 61.900
2 ↓1 Sean Johnson 33 New York City FC 59.700
3 ↓1 Ethan Horvath 27 Luton Town 59.050
4 ↓1 Stefan Frei 36 Seattle Sounders FC 54.325
5 Gabriel Slonina 18 Chicago Fire 54.175
6 JT Marcinkowski 25 San Jose Earthquakes 51.800
7 John Pulskamp 21 Sporting Kansas City 51.500
8 Brad Guzan 38 Atlanta United FC 47.075
9 Bill Hamid 31 DC United 45.425
10 Matt Turner 28 Arsenal 22.500

Centerbacks

Rank Change Player Age Club Score
1 ↑1 Cameron Carter-Vickers 24 Celtic 63.750
2 ↓1 Tim Ream 35 Fulham 62.950
3 Mark McKenzie 23 Genk 62.675
4 ↑2 Auston Trusty 24 Birmingham 60.225
5 ↓1 Erik Palmer-Brown 25 Troyes 60.175
6 ↓1 Walker Zimmerman 29 Nashville SC 59.850
7 Matt Miazga 27 FC Cincinnati 58.825
8 ↑1 James Sands 22 Rangers 58.325
9 ↓1 Sean Nealis 25 New York Red Bulls 57.425
10 Aaron Long 30 New York Red Bulls 56.925
11 ↑1 Justen Glad 25 Real Salt Lake 55.650
12 ↓1 Mauricio Pineda 25 Chicago Fire 54.150
13 Chris Richards 22 Crystal Palace 53.900
14 Henry Kessler 24 NE Revolution 53.225
15 ↑3 Tim Parker 29 Houston Dynamo 52.475
16 ↑1 John Brooks 29 Benfica 50.300
17 ↓1 Donovan Pines 24 DC United 49.950
18 NR Jonathan Tomkinson 20 Norwich City 49.700
19 Miles Robinson 25 Atlanta United FC 49.550
20 Brendan Hines-Ike 27 DC United 47.325
21 Justin Che 19 TSG Hoffenheim 20.250
22 Kobi Henry 18 Reims 18.250

*Jonathan Tomkinson added, Owen Otasowie removed

Left Backs

Rank Change Player Age Club Score
1 Antonee Robinson 25 Fulham 63.650
2 ↑1 John Tolkin 20 New York Red Bulls 59.175
3 ↓1 Sam Vines 23 Antwerp 58.900
4 Andrew Gutman 26 Atlanta United FC 58.600
5 ↑2 Ryan Hollingshead 31 Los Angeles FC 57.975
6 ↓1 Daniel Lovitz 31 Nashville SC 57.850
7 ↓1 DeJuan Jones 25 NE Revolution 56.550
8 Marco Farfan 24 FC Dallas 56.225
9 Kevin Paredes 19 VfL Wolfsburg 53.700
10 Jaylin Lindsey 22 Charlotte FC 50.975
11 George Bello 20 Arminia Bielefeld 43.225
12 Jonathan Gomez 19 Real Sociedad 20.250

Right Backs

Rank Change Player Age Club Score
1 Joe Scally 19 Monchengladbach 63.725
2 ↑1 Shaq Moore 26 Nashville SC 59.600
3 ↑10 Bryan Reynolds 21 KVC Westerlo 58.525
4 Brandon Bye 27 NE Revolution 57.475
5 ↓3 Reggie Cannon 24 Boavista 56.950
6 ↓1 Nathan Harriel 21 Philadelphia Union 56.450
7 ↑5 Sergino Dest 22 AC Milan 55.875
8 ↓2 DeAndre Yedlin 29 Inter Miami CF 55.825
9 Nick Lima 28 Austin FC 55.275
10 ↓2 Keegan Rosenberry 28 Colorado Rapids 55.250
11 Tmothy Chandler 32 Eintracht Frankfurt 53.525
12 ↓2 Kyle Duncan 25 New York Red Bulls 53.450
13 ↓6 Aaron Herrera 25 Real Salt Lake 53.175
14 NR Marlon Fossey 24 Standard Liege 49.650

*Marlon Fossey added

Defensive Midfielders

Rank Change Player Age Club Score
1 Tyler Adams 23 Leeds United 64.275
2 ↑2 Johnny Cardoso 21 Internacional 61.525
3 ↓1 Leon Flach 21 Philadelphia Union 59.600
4 ↑1 Sean Davis 29 Nashville SC 57.425
5 ↑1 Michael Bradley 35 Toronto FC 56.075
6 ↑2 Wil Trapp 29 Minnesota United 54.425
7 ↑2 Jackson Yueill 25 SJ Earthquakes 54.400
8 ↓5 Christian Cappis 23 Brondby 53.775
9 ↓2 Edwin Cerrillo 22 FC Dallas 52.750
10 ↑2 Brandon Servania 23 FC Dallas 51.100
11 Eryk Williamson 25 Portland Timbers 49.800
12 ↑1 Chris Durkin 22 DC United 49.550
13 ↓3 Hassani Dotson 25 Minnesota United 49.525
14 ↑1 Ian Harkes 27 Dundee United 46.950
15 ↓1 Dante Polvara 22 Aberdeen 46.275
16 Tanner Tessmann 21 Venezia 44.225

Center Midfielders

Rank Change Player Age Club Score
1 Yunus Musah 19 Valencia 62.800
2 ↑2 Kellyn Acosta 27 Los Angeles FC 62.225
3 ↓1 Weston McKennie 24 Juventus 61.850
4 ↑1 Cristian Roldan 27 Seattle Sounders 58.975
5 ↓2 Alejandro Bedoya 35 Philadelphia Union 58.625
6 ↑2 Marky Delgado 27 Los Angeles Galaxy 58.375
7 ↓1 Sebastian Lletget 30 FC Dallas 57.775
8 ↓1 Alfredo Morales 32 New York City FC 56.900
9 Keaton Parks 25 New York City FC 53.850
10 ↑1 Alan Sonora 24 CA Independiente 53.625
11 ↑2 Luca de la Torre 24 Celta Vigo 53.225
12 ↓2 Gianluca Busio 20 Venezia 49.875
13 NR Jacob Montes 24 Botafogo 49.850
14 ↓2 Cole Bassett 21 Fortuna Sittard 47.900

*Jacob Montes added

Attacking Midfielders

Rank Change Player Age Club Score
1 Brenden Aaronson 23 Leeds United 63.900
2 ↑10 Giovanni Reyna 20 Borussia Dortmund 62.050
3 ↑1 Malik Tillman 20 Rangers 61.575
4 ↑12 Taylor Booth 21 FC Utrecht 60.800
5 ↓2 Djordje Mihailovic 24 CF Montreal 60.175
6 ↓1 Paul Arriola 27 FC Dallas 59.750
7 ↓5 Brooks Lennon 25 Atlanta United FC 59.600
8 ↑22 Tim Weah 22 Lille 59.425
9 ↓2 Christian Pulisic 24 Chelsea 59.075
10 ↓4 Jordan Morris 28 Seattle Sounders 57.850
11 ↓2 Alex Mendez 22 Vizela 57.400
12 ↓1 Frankie Amaya 22 New York Red Bulls 57.350
13 ↓3 Chris Mueller 26 Chicago Fire 55.600
14 ↓6 Lynden Gooch 26 Sunderland 55.350
15 ↓2 Paxton Pomykal 22 FC Dallas 54.075
16 ↓1 Jonathan Lewis 25 Colorado Rapids 53.100
17 ↓3 Richard Ledezma 22 PSV 52.725
18 ↓1 Duane Holmes 28 Huddersfield Town 51.700
19 ↑3 Ben Bender 21 Charlotte FC 51.475
20 Khiry Shelton 29 Sporting Kansas City 50.575
21 ↑14 Emmanuel Sabbi 24 Odense BK 50.525
22 ↓3 Benji Michel 25 Orlando City SC 49.600
23 ↓2 Andres Perea 22 Orlando City SC 48.475
24 ↑2 Alejandro Alvarado 19 Vizela 47.975
25 ↓1 Joel Sonora 26 Maritimo 47.425
26 ↓8 Konrad de la Fuente 21 Olympiacos 47.225
27 Sebastian Saucedo 25 Toluca 47.125
28 ↑1 Julian Green 27 Greuther Fuerth 47.025
29 ↓1 Emerson Hyndman 26 Atlanta United FC 46.825
30 ↓5 Caden Clark 19 New York Red Bulls 46.625
31 ↓8 Timothy Tillman 23 Greuther Fuerth 45.850
32 ↓1 Tyler Boyd 122 Besiktas 44.950
33 ↓3 Jorge Hernandez 22 KV Mechelen 44.175
34 ↓2 Vaughn Covil 19 Hull City 43.375
35 ↓2 Jack De Vries 20 Venezia 40.325

Forwards

Rank Change Player Age Club Score
1 Jordan Pefok 26 Union Berlin 63.550
2 ↑1 Jesus Ferreira 21 FC Dallas 60.700
3 ↑2 Brandon Vazquez 24 FC Cincinnati 60.025
4 ↑2 Ricardo Pepi 19 FC Groningen 59.500
5 ↓3 Josh Sargent 22 Norwich City 59.275
6 ↓2 Haji Wright 24 Antalyaspor 58.825
7 Gyasi Zardes 31 Colorado Rapids 56.125
8 Jeremy Ebobisse 25 SJ Earthquakes 55.250
9 Mason Toye 24 CF Montreal 51.500
10 ↑2 Jozy Altidore 33 Puebla 49.425
11 ↓1 Cade Cowell 19 SJ Earthquakes 48.950
12 ↓1 Bobby Wood 30 Real Salt Lake 48.925
13 ↑1 Matthew Hoppe 21 Middlesbrough 47.500
14 ↑1 Robbie Robinson 24 Inter Miami CF 47.350
15 ↑4 Joseph Efford 26 Motherwell 46.450
16 Daryl Dike 22 West Brom 46.300
17 ↓4 Andrija Novakovich 26 Venezia 46.175
18 Miguel Berry 25 DC United 45.600
19 ↑1 Nicholas Gioacchini 22 Orlando City SC 44.550
20 ↓3 Christian Ramirez 31 Aberdeen 44.025


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